Fig. 7
Connectivity implications of the inferred time and selection processes for a simulated landscape. This landscape consists of a wetland (ellipse with “W”) and patches of savanna (rectangles with “S”) within a grassland matrix (rest of the area). One hundred individuals start in the upper left savanna patch at time 0 and each panel in (a) shows the predicted abundance of individuals on each pixel after 1, 20, 40, and 60 time steps, where each time step corresponds to 20 min. The color gradient indicates predicted abundance of individuals, but note that the scale is not the same across different panels. Results in (b) show the estimated percentage of individuals in the destination patch as a function of time. Horizontal and vertical dashed lines highlight that approximately 49 days are required for 90% of the individuals to have reached the destination patch. All results are based on the estimated parameters for a single individual, assuming movement patterns at 8 p.m. and at mean temperature (25 °C)